Without Brig around to make this a fun weekend I ended up spending a lot of time immersed in baseball. I watched 3 Sox games in a row for the first time in probably 2 years and did a lot of tinkering to my 3 fantasy baseball squads. One of them had their trade deadline set for this weekend. Here is it's tale:
It’s amazing what high
expectations and a down year can do to a player’s reputation. With Albert
Pujols joining the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim (real name) this offseason, fantasy baseball
players were salivating over the possibilities for second baseman Howie Kendrick. Batting ahead of Pujols
meant he would get better pitches to hit and he’d have more opportunities to score
runs. You know what they say about the best laid plans... Pujols struggled in his new locale and so did
Kendrick. He was seeing more fastballs but not making contact. His average went
down and then so did his spot in the lineup.
I just traded for
Kendrick in my dynasty league. He’s only 29 and normally a .285/10 HR/10 SB
hitter. That plays in any league. But here’s the crazy part… how little I paid
to get him: a reliever (Vicente Padilla) and an injury-risk starter (Zach Britton).
That’s a testament to just how far Kendrick’s stock has fallen. At the
beginning of the year he was ranked higher than Neil Walker, Dustin Ackley,
Jose Altuve and Aaron Hill. Yet, I got him from a manager who has Hill and Ackley
(and who previously had Altuve too before trading him) and I got him with the
intention of being a backup on my team to Walker. So, clearly, his perceived
value has never been lower while his actual value is likely just taking a
temporary hit. Sometimes, players have down seasons for absolutely no reason.
I’m taking a chance (albeit not much of one given how little I gave up in the
trade) that he will rebound next year and continue putting up numbers close to
his career averages. And even if he doesn’t, I’m not relying on him to be a
starter or anything other than a replacement player if someone gets hurt or is
slumping. It’s a no-lose situation.
Earlier in the year, I
turned Sergio Romo (another reliever who isn't his team's closer) into
Ivan Nova (just win, baby!) as well as trading one year wonder(?) Fernando Rodney
for much needed right-field help in the form of Corey Hart. The common denominator
between all these trades? I moved relievers.
This would be nearly
impossible in any league that didn’t count Holds as a category. Rodney is a
save-machine this year so he has value anywhere but Romo and Padilla? Not
necessarily. Romo is actually a very good pitcher but he’s had arm issues so
San Fran is treating him with kid gloves. Smart in real life maybe but
under-utilizing a proven talent in fantasy is a waste. And Padilla has looked
really good this year but he’s in the twilight of his career and will be a free
agent after the season meaning who knows what his situation will be next year.
The key point here is to not pay for relievers. There is too much turnover from
year-to-year. There’s only 1 Mariano Rivera (and even this year he screwed over
fantasy owners).
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